Beto O’Rourke Campaign Failure: What Happened?

Beto O’Rourke has played games with the media before, but he got a last laugh of sorts — at least a wistful chuckle — by dropping out of the presidential race on Friday afternoon, sending political writers into a tizzy right before the weekend. And although his candidacy once had great promise, O’Rourke’s exit from […]

The Impeachment Inquiry Will Now Be Televised

Welcome to The Spin Cycle, a semi-regular look at how the impeachment inquiry is being sold to the American public by Washington-types — both those who are looking to oust the president and those looking to save him. For most of the short life of the impeachment inquiry, House Democrats have played their hand in […]

What We Learned From The First House Vote On Impeachment

Today’s House vote to formalize the impeachment process, spelling out its rules and procedures, isn’t the impeachment vote. That vote — on whether to make Donald Trump only the third-ever president<a class="espn-footnote-link" data-footnote-id="1" href="" data-footnote-content=" Along with Andrew Johnson in 1868 and Bill Clinton in 1998. “>1 to be impeached — will likely come later, […]

Politics Podcast: An Exit Interview With Tim Ryan

By Galen Druke Embed Code <iframe frameborder=”0″ width=”100%” height=”180″ style=”margin:20px auto 25px;max-width:600px;” scrolling=”no” src=””></iframe> Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan dropped out of the Democratic primary race last Thursday, bringing the number of “major” candidates<a class="espn-footnote-link" data-footnote-id="1" href="" data-footnote-content=" By FiveThirtyEight’s definition. “>1 vying for the party’s nomination down to 17. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight […]

Biden Up 15. Warren Up 7. Are Primary Polls Too Far Apart?

Last week, two polls painted two very different pictures of the state of the primary race. A CNN/SSRS poll put former Vice President Joe Biden 15 points ahead of Sen. Elizabeth Warren, 34 percent to 19 percent, while a Quinnipiac University poll released a day later found Biden trailing Warren by 7 points, 21 to […]

Buttigieg’s Centrist Pivot May Be Winning Him A New Base

Let’s play a game I’m calling “Guess That 2020 Candidate.” The person I’m thinking of is a fresh face who would make history if elected president. They have ties to Harvard University and are known for giving thoughtful, sometimes wonky answers to questions. They hail from the middle of the country, which they play up […]

What Will Change When Impeachment Goes Public?

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarahf (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): On Thursday, the House will hold its first formal vote of the impeachment inquiry into President Trump, signaling a new chapter in the impeachment investigation and perhaps an expedited timeline, with a full vote possible by Christmas. […]

Why Democrats Are Moving Quickly With Impeachment

House Democrats are running out of time. With a little over three months to go before the beginning of primary season, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced on Monday that the House will hold its first formal vote of the impeachment inquiry into President Trump on Thursday, signaling that the investigation, which has taken place almost […]